مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aberdeen v Kilmarnock

البداية: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aberdeen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.87%2.13السعر العادل
EV -3.91%
الأفضلية -1.91%
Kelly -3.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.92%46.81%46.88%47.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.39%50.00%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kilmarnock (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.45%3.78السعر العادل
EV -2.93%
الأفضلية -0.798%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.79%26.54%26.48%27.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.473.503.6730.30%28.83%28.57%27.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.68%3.75السعر العادل
EV +0.043%
الأفضلية +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.09%26.65%26.65%27.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.67%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 14:05
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.29%E -0.349%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -1.29%E -0.349%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:19
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 03:09
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 03:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 05:19
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 05:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 05:19
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 05:19
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 14:04
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.91%EV -2.93%E -0.798%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.56%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 07:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 03:10
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 03:09
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 03:10
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 03:09
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 05:19
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:15
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 05:20
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:15
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 06:15
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:10
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:10
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:10
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:09
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.87%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -7.69%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:10
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -7.69%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:10
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:34
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:35
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 07:39
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 07:39
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.66%E -3.89%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 03:10
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.13%E -4.15%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 03:10
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.13%E -4.15%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 03:10
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 03:10
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 05:54
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 05:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.48%E -5.48%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 07:39
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:34
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:34
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.93%EV -11.88%E -6.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -14.22%E -7.77%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.79%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 15:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-04-24 03:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%3.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 47.23%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%8.0%2026-04-24 00:34