La scuola delle quote

Aberdeen v Kilmarnock

Inizio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aberdeen (Casa)

Previsione 46.87%2.13quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -1.91%
Kelly -3.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.92%46.81%46.88%47.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.982.002.0554.64%50.39%50.00%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kilmarnock (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.45%3.78quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -0.798%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.79%26.54%26.48%27.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.473.503.6730.30%28.83%28.57%27.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.68%3.75quota equa
EV +0.043%
Vantaggio +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.09%26.65%26.65%27.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.67%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV +0.043%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 14:05
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.29%E -0.349%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 16:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -1.29%E -0.349%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:19
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 03:09
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 03:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.91%E -1.91%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 05:19
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 05:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 05:19
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 05:19
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 14:04
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.91%EV -2.93%E -0.798%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.56%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 07:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 03:10
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 03:09
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 03:10
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.32%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.75%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 03:09
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 05:19
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 06:15
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 05:20
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:15
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 06:15
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:10
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:10
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:10
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 03:09
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.87%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -7.69%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:10
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -7.69%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:10
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:34
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:35
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:24
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 07:39
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 07:39
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.66%E -3.89%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 03:10
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.13%E -4.15%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 03:10
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.13%E -4.15%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 03:10
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 03:10
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 05:54
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.60%E -4.41%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 05:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.48%E -5.48%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 07:39
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:34
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.26%E -3.13%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:34
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.93%EV -11.88%E -6.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -14.22%E -7.77%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.79%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.63%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-04-24 03:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%3.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 47.23%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%8.0%2026-04-24 00:34