The School of OddsAberdeen v Hearts
Head to Head
Option 1: Aberdeen (Local)
Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.4728.86%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.5428.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.22%3.814Min
27.38%3.652Max
26.70%3.746Mean
26.55%3.766Median
26.64%3.753IQM
26.68%3.748Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.54 under the IQM model: 26.64%
EV -5.68%Edge -1.61%Kelly -2.24%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Hearts (Visit)
Odds
1.7955.87%Min
1.9451.59%Mean
1.9451.55%Median
2.0050.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
46.85%2.134Min
48.33%2.069Max
47.55%2.103Mean
47.66%2.098Median
47.60%2.101IQM
47.57%2.102Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 47.60%
EV -4.80%Edge -2.40%Kelly -4.80%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.5927.88%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.7526.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.34%3.946Min
26.02%3.843Max
25.75%3.883Mean
25.79%3.878Median
25.76%3.882IQM
25.75%3.884Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.75 under the IQM model: 25.76%
EV -3.40%Edge -0.907%Kelly -1.24%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Aberdeen (Local) ▼ | Hearts (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.54I 28.25% NM 26.49%EV -5.68% E -1.61% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76% NM 47.60%EV -6.23% E -3.16% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62% NM 25.91%EV -6.75% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-03 01:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.54I 28.25% NM 26.36%EV -5.68% E -1.61% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.86%EV -7.18% E -3.68% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62% NM 25.78%EV -6.75% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-03 01:20 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.15%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.51%EV -4.80% E -2.40% K -4.80% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.34%EV -3.40% E -0.907% K -1.24% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 02:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.06%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.35%EV -4.80% E -2.40% K -4.80% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.59%EV -4.69% E -1.27% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.06%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.35%EV -4.80% E -2.40% K -4.80% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.59%EV -4.69% E -1.27% K -1.74% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.65%EV -7.18% E -3.68% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.65%EV -7.18% E -3.68% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.65%EV -7.18% E -3.68% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.65%EV -7.18% E -3.68% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.55%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.65%EV -7.18% E -3.68% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.81%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-02 20:35 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.48%EV -6.75% E -1.93% K -2.70% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.77%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.75%EV -7.27% E -2.02% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.67%EV -8.08% E -2.34% K -3.30% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.42%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.91%EV -8.55% E -2.41% K -3.35% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.67%EV -8.08% E -2.34% K -3.30% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.42%EV -7.66% E -3.95% K -8.15% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.91%EV -8.55% E -2.41% K -3.35% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.34%EV -8.08% E -2.34% K -3.30% G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91% NM 48.07%EV -10.04% E -5.31% K -11.28% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.59%EV -8.55% E -2.41% K -3.35% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.34%EV -9.41% E -2.77% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76% NM 47.19%EV -6.23% E -3.16% K -6.43% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.47%EV -5.98% E -1.64% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-02 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.79%EV -9.41% E -2.77% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81% NM 47.19%EV -8.14% E -4.22% K -8.75% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.02%EV -9.84% E -2.81% K -3.94% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.79%EV -9.41% E -2.77% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81% NM 47.19%EV -8.14% E -4.22% K -8.75% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.02%EV -9.84% E -2.81% K -3.94% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.55%EV -9.41% E -2.77% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 48.02%EV -10.52% E -5.59% K -11.95% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.43%EV -8.55% E -2.41% K -3.35% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.22%EV -12.08% E -3.66% K -5.25% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 48.33%EV -14.80% E -8.27% K -18.73% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.45%EV -12.42% E -3.65% K -5.17% G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.38%EV -14.74% E -4.61% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 46.85%EV -10.99% E -5.88% K -12.63% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.77%EV -12.42% E -3.65% K -5.17% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-30 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Aberdeen (Local) | Hearts (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.40I 29.41% | 1.90I 52.63% | 3.60I 27.78% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 23:30 |