The School of Odds

Aberdeen v Hearts

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

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Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Prediction 22.30%4.48fair odd
EV +0.348%
Edge +0.077%
Kelly +0.100%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.70%22.33%22.25%24.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.214.204.5027%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hearts (Visit)

Prediction 52.93%1.89fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.77%52.91%52.99%54.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.751.8060%58%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.77%4.04fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.11%24.76%24.76%25.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.553.723.753.9028%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 03:20
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:20
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:25
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:20
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:20
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:24
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:20
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:20
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:20
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.348%E +0.077%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 13:20
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -3.00%E -0.689%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -3.00%E -0.689%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 13:20
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.11%E -0.956%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -10.02%E -5.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.82%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 13:20
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.11%E -0.956%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -10.02%E -5.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.82%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 13:25
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.11%E -0.956%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -10.02%E -5.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.82%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 17:30
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -5.00%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.98%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 11:04
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.47%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.38%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 20:55
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 05:25
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 08:35
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 05:20
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 05:20
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -6.85%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 08:30
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.91%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 08:34
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 01:40
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.34%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 18:40
1xBet4.17I 23.98%NM 22.46%EV -7.01%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.62%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.91%EV -6.85%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 10:04
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 16:00
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 16:00
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -6.85%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 05:20
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 20:40
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 20:42
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 03:25
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 03:24
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 20:40
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 01:45
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.57%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 16:00
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.80%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.82%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.80%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.82%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.80%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.82%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.80%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.82%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.74%EV -10.02%E -5.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 07:05
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.03%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.82%EV -12.14%E -7.31%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 01:45
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -15.26%E -4.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 17:45
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -16.38%E -4.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.82%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-22 03:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%9.5%2026-07-23 18:30