L’École des cotes

Aberdeen v Hearts

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Prévision 22.32%4.48cote équitable
EV +0.428%
Avantage +0.095%
Kelly +0.122%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.16%22.39%22.26%24.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.144.194.5027.03%24.17%23.89%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hearts (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.91%1.89cote équitable
EV -4.77%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -5.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.77%52.85%53.01%53.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.751.751.8063.29%57.23%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.78%4.04cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -0.865%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.11%24.76%24.73%25.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.753.9029.41%26.94%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +0.428%E +0.095%K +0.122%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 03:20
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -4.93%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.98%EV -5.30%E -2.96%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -5.11%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 11:04
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.47%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.37%E -0.865%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 20:55
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:39
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:39
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:39
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 05:25
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 08:35
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 05:20
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 05:20
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -6.35%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 08:30
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.94%E -4.56%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 08:34
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 01:40
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.00%E -5.23%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 08:40
1xBet4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -6.94%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.69%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.81%EV -6.35%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 21:00
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:20
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:20
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 05:20
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 20:40
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 20:42
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 16:35
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 03:25
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 03:24
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 20:40
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 20:40
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -9.00%E -5.23%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 01:45
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 20:40
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 20:40
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 20:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.00%E -5.23%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 16:35
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.82%EV -12.18%E -7.33%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 01:45
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 17:45
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -16.31%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -11.65%E -6.97%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-22 03:40
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.57%EV -17.43%E -4.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.86%EV -16.41%E -10.38%K -28.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -15.76%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%19.7%2026-07-26 06:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%10.9%2026-07-25 16:30