Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aberdeen v Hearts

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC

Score final : Aberdeen 2–1 Hearts

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aberdeen (Local)

Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.440%
Kelly -0.649%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.81%31.94%31.74%33.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.68%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hearts (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.10%2.43cote équitable
EV -0.130%
Avantage -0.054%
Kelly -0.091%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.33%41.04%41.10%42.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.58%43.48%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.08%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.465%
Kelly -0.642%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%27.02%27.16%28.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.463.453.6331.25%28.88%28.99%27.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aberdeen (Local) : 31.82% ; Hearts (Visiteur) : 41.10% ; Match nul : 27.08%. Pour Hearts (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.433. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.430, pour une espérance de -0.130% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.17%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.20%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -1.69%E -0.465%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.17%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.20%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -1.69%E -0.465%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 16:14
Pinnacle🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.41%EV -2.64%E -0.861%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.97%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.62%EV -2.23%E -0.618%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 16:20
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -4.23%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.52%EV -0.130%E -0.054%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.58%EV -9.00%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 16:25
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:05
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:15
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 16:05
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 16:19
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 16:20
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:14
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.58%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -5.50%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.71%E -2.95%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:23
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:24
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:23
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -9.17%E -4.15%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 16:14
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:24
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 15:44
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:25
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 16:05
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 16:24
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 16:25
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -8.35%E -3.74%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 16:05
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 15:44
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%EV -2.19%E -0.918%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%EV -2.19%E -0.918%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 16:20
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -1.36%E -0.568%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -1.36%E -0.568%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 15:30
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -1.36%E -0.568%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 15:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 15:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 16:24
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 16:24
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 15:45
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.34%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-01 16:04
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 16:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:24
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-08-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36%0.1%2026-08-01 16:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 16:20
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-08-01 16:25