La escuela de los momios

Aberdeen v Hearts

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Predicción 22.32%4.48momio equitativo
EV +0.428%
Ventaja +0.095%
Kelly +0.122%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.16%22.39%22.26%24.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.144.194.5027.03%24.17%23.89%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hearts (Visitante)

Predicción 52.91%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.77%
Ventaja -2.65%
Kelly -5.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.77%52.85%53.01%53.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.751.751.8063.29%57.23%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.78%4.04momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -0.865%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.11%24.76%24.73%25.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.713.753.9029.41%26.94%26.67%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV +0.428%E +0.095%K +0.122%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 03:20
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.26%EV -4.93%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.98%EV -5.30%E -2.96%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -5.11%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 11:04
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.47%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.37%E -0.865%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 20:55
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 08:30
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:39
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:39
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:39
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 05:25
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 08:35
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 05:20
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 05:20
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -6.35%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 08:30
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.94%E -4.56%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 08:34
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 20:40
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 01:40
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.00%E -5.23%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 08:40
1xBet4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -6.94%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.69%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.81%EV -6.35%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 21:00
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:20
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -7.38%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -5.83%E -3.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:20
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.84%EV -6.88%E -3.91%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 05:20
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 20:40
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 20:42
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 16:35
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 03:25
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 03:24
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 20:40
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 20:40
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -9.00%E -5.23%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 01:45
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 20:40
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 20:40
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.47%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 20:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 05:19
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.00%E -5.23%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 16:35
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.82%EV -12.18%E -7.33%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 01:45
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -15.19%E -4.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 17:45
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -16.31%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -11.65%E -6.97%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-22 03:40
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.57%EV -17.43%E -4.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.86%EV -16.41%E -10.38%K -28.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -15.76%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%19.7%2026-07-26 06:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%10.9%2026-07-25 16:30