Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aberdeen v Hearts

Início: 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC

Final: Aberdeen 2–1 Hearts

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aberdeen (Local)

Previsão 31.82%3.14odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.440%
Kelly -0.649%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.81%31.94%31.74%33.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.68%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hearts (Visitante)

Previsão 41.10%2.43odd justa
EV -0.130%
Vantagem -0.054%
Kelly -0.091%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.33%41.04%41.10%42.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.58%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.08%3.69odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.465%
Kelly -0.642%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.97%27.02%27.16%28.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.463.453.6331.25%28.88%28.99%27.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aberdeen (Local): 31.82%; Hearts (Visitante): 41.10%; Empate: 27.08%. Para Hearts (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.433. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.430, com valor esperado de -0.130%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.17%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.20%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -1.69%E -0.465%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.17%EV -1.36%E -0.440%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.20%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -1.69%E -0.465%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 16:14
Pinnacle🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.41%EV -2.64%E -0.861%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.97%EV -5.88%E -2.57%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.62%EV -2.23%E -0.618%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 16:20
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -4.23%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.52%EV -0.130%E -0.054%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.58%EV -9.00%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 16:25
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:05
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:15
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 16:05
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 16:19
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 16:20
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:14
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.58%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -5.50%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -6.71%E -2.95%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:23
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:24
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 16:23
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.50%EV -6.77%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -9.17%E -4.15%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 16:14
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.98%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.96%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:24
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 15:44
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:25
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 16:05
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 16:24
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 16:25
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -8.35%E -3.74%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 16:05
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 15:44
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%EV -2.19%E -0.918%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%EV -2.19%E -0.918%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.50%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.53%E -3.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 16:20
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -1.36%E -0.568%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -1.36%E -0.568%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 15:30
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -1.36%E -0.568%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 15:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -2.60%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 15:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 16:24
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 16:24
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 15:45
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.72%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.34%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-01 16:04
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -4.24%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 16:24
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 16:24
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-08-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36%0.1%2026-08-01 16:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 16:20
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-01 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-08-01 16:25