Language:English
Tenerife v Leganés
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tenerife (Local)
Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.89%40.09%40.08%41.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.4546.51%43.66%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leganés (Visit)
Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV +0.449%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.173%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%27.77%27.86%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.203.6034.72%30.92%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV -0.658%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.313%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%32.13%32.05%33.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.882.893.1038.02%34.75%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tenerife (Local): 40.05%; Leganés (Visit): 27.90%; Draw: 32.05%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.449%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV +0.449%E +0.125%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 18:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -1.87%E -0.765%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -7.39%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 18:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 18:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -11.55%E -4.19%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -7.08%E -3.05%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.25%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -6.75%E -2.32%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.38%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.28%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.08%EV -9.08%E -4.00%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 05:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -9.31%E -3.29%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -13.89%E -6.46%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.658%E -0.212%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.65%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -14.44%E -5.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 05:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 05:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 05:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 05:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 18:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 39.66%EV -13.49%E -6.24%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.75%EV -19.64%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.59%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |