语言:简体中文
Tenerife v Leganés
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tenerife (主队)
预测 40.05%2.50公平赔率
EV -1.87%
优势 -0.765%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.45
博彩公司预测分布
38.89%40.09%40.08%41.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.292.302.4546.51%43.66%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
Leganés (客队)
预测 27.90%3.58公平赔率
EV +0.449%
优势 +0.125%
Kelly +0.173%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.50%27.77%27.86%30.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.233.203.6034.72%30.92%31.25%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 32.05%3.12公平赔率
EV -0.658%
优势 -0.212%
Kelly -0.313%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.16%32.13%32.05%33.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.882.893.1038.02%34.75%34.60%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tenerife (主队)：40.05%；Leganés (客队)：27.90%；平局：32.05%。 对于“Leganés (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.58。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.60，对应+0.449%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV +0.449%E +0.125%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 18:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -1.87%E -0.765%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -7.39%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 18:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 18:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -11.55%E -4.19%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -7.08%E -3.05%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.25%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -6.75%E -2.32%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.38%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.28%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.08%EV -9.08%E -4.00%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 05:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -9.31%E -3.29%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -13.89%E -6.46%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.658%E -0.212%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.65%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -14.44%E -5.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 05:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 05:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 05:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 05:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 18:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 39.66%EV -13.49%E -6.24%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.75%EV -19.64%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.59%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-13 18:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |