Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tenerife v Leganés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 19:01 UTC

Score final : Tenerife 2–0 Leganés

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tenerife (Local)

Prévision 40.05%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.89%40.09%40.08%41.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.302.4546.51%43.66%43.48%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leganés (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.90%3.58cote équitable
EV +0.449%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.173%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.50%27.77%27.86%30.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.203.6034.72%30.92%31.25%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.05%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.658%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.313%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.16%32.13%32.05%33.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.882.893.1038.02%34.75%34.60%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tenerife (Local) : 40.05% ; Leganés (Visiteur) : 27.90% ; Match nul : 32.05%. Pour Leganés (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.58. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +0.449%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV +0.449%E +0.125%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:21
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -1.87%E -0.765%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -7.39%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:35
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 18:41
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 18:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -11.55%E -4.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -7.08%E -3.05%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.25%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -6.75%E -2.32%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 18:40
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.38%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.28%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:34
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:56
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.08%EV -9.08%E -4.00%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 18:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:50
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:49
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 05:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 18:50
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -9.31%E -3.29%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -13.89%E -6.46%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.658%E -0.212%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:31
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:31
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.65%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -14.44%E -5.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 05:11
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 05:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 05:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 05:11
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 18:26
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 18:31
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.66%EV -13.49%E -6.24%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.75%EV -19.64%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.59%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-13 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%0.5%2026-09-13 18:56
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-09-13 18:56
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%1.1%2026-09-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%1.1%2026-09-13 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%1.1%2026-09-13 18:56
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.0%2026-09-13 18:56