StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tenerife v Leganés

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 19:01 UTC

Slutresultat: Tenerife 2–0 Leganés

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tenerife (Hemma)

Prognos 40.05%2.50rättvist odds
EV -1.87%
Fördel -0.765%
Kelly -1.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.89%40.09%40.08%41.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.292.302.4546.51%43.66%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Leganés (Borta)

Prognos 27.90%3.58rättvist odds
EV +0.449%
Fördel +0.125%
Kelly +0.173%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.50%27.77%27.86%30.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.233.203.6034.72%30.92%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.05%3.12rättvist odds
EV -0.658%
Fördel -0.212%
Kelly -0.313%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.16%32.13%32.05%33.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.632.882.893.1038.02%34.75%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Tenerife (Hemma): 40.05%; Leganés (Borta): 27.90%; Oavgjort: 32.05%. För Leganés (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.58. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.449%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV +0.449%E +0.125%K +0.173%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:21
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -1.87%E -0.765%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.042%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -7.39%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:35
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.34%E -0.669%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 18:41
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 18:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -11.55%E -4.19%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -7.08%E -3.05%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -6.25%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -6.75%E -2.32%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 18:40
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.38%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.28%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:34
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:56
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.08%EV -9.08%E -4.00%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 18:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:50
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 18:49
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 05:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 18:50
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -9.31%E -3.29%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -13.89%E -6.46%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.658%E -0.212%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:31
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 18:31
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.65%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.11%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -14.44%E -5.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 05:11
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 05:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 05:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 05:11
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 18:26
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 18:31
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -14.90%E -4.88%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.68%E -3.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.88%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 18:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.66%EV -13.49%E -6.24%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.75%EV -19.64%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.59%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-13 18:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%0.5%2026-09-13 18:56
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.51%0.8%2026-09-13 18:56
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%1.1%2026-09-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%1.1%2026-09-13 18:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%1.1%2026-09-13 18:56
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.79%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.0%2026-09-13 18:56