Language:English
Tenerife v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tenerife (Local)
Prediction 34.45%2.90fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.596%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.83%34.41%34.41%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.652.8739.22%37.27%37.74%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 35.82%2.79fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.44%35.85%35.90%37.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.7443.48%39.53%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.72%3.36fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.40%29.73%29.69%31.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.073.103.2535.09%32.61%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tenerife (Local): 34.45%; Almería (Visit): 35.82%; Draw: 29.72%. For Tenerife (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.87, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -1.11%E -0.388%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -6.97%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 19:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.99%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35%EV -1.85%E -0.674%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -6.08%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.01%EV -5.59%E -2.04%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -7.58%E -2.94%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.31%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 07:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 07:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -14.03%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -14.74%E -6.19%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 07:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -14.74%E -6.19%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 07:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -12.32%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 19:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -14.40%E -5.00%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 19:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 19:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 07:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 07:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -15.29%E -5.37%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.47%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.10%EV -17.61%E -7.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.43%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 18:40 |