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Tenerife v Almería

2026-08-23 19:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tenerife (Local)

Prediction 34.36%2.91fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%34.38%34.43%35.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.652.652.8140.82%37.69%37.74%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almería (Visit)

Prediction 37.53%2.66fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.52%37.49%37.53%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.452.5243.48%41.15%40.82%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.32%28.13%28.04%28.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.4632.26%30.78%30.77%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tenerife (Local): 34.36%; Almería (Visit): 37.53%; Draw: 28.11%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.46, with an expected value of -2.72%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.16%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.09%EV -5.44%E -2.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.74%EV -2.72%E -0.787%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.19%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 13:25
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.20%E -2.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.07%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 13:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 13:53
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.79%EV -8.60%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -5.44%E -2.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.79%EV -8.60%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -5.44%E -2.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 15:14
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -8.94%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -5.44%E -2.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 13:24
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -8.94%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -5.44%E -2.16%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.94%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 16:30
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.94%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -8.94%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.08%EV -7.69%E -3.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 13:25
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.94%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 13:28
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.98%E -3.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 13:25
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-17 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.66%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-17 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -12.38%E -4.86%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -11.82%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.85%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -11.82%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-17 13:24
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -14.10%E -5.64%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.85%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-17 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -12.85%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-17 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 34.59%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.36%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%7.1%2026-08-17 15:45
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 34.40%2.34I 42.74%NM 36.75%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.86%16.3%2026-08-17 13:30

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