Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tenerife v Almería

Início: 2026-08-23 19:33 UTC

Final: Tenerife 1–0 Almería

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tenerife (Local)

Previsão 34.45%2.90odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.388%
Kelly -0.596%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.83%34.41%34.41%35.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.682.652.8739.22%37.27%37.74%34.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Almería (Visitante)

Previsão 35.82%2.79odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -0.674%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.44%35.85%35.90%37.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.532.552.7443.48%39.53%39.22%36.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.72%3.36odd justa
EV -3.40%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.40%29.73%29.69%31.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.073.103.2535.09%32.61%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tenerife (Local): 34.45%; Almería (Visitante): 35.82%; Empate: 29.72%. Para Tenerife (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.90. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.87, com valor esperado de -1.11%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -1.11%E -0.388%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -6.97%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:24
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.99%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35%EV -1.85%E -0.674%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -6.08%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 19:14
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 08:00
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:05
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 07:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 19:09
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:50
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.01%EV -5.59%E -2.04%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -7.58%E -2.94%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 18:40
Bovada🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.31%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 19:19
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:50
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:44
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:44
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 07:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 07:05
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -14.03%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -14.74%E -6.19%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -14.74%E -6.19%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 07:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -12.32%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 19:03
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -14.40%E -5.00%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 19:19
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 19:22
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 19:05
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 19:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:44
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 07:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 07:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -15.29%E -5.37%K -8.27%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-23 19:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.47%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.10%EV -17.61%E -7.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.43%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-08-23 19:10
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-08-23 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-08-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-08-23 19:25
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-08-23 19:25
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-08-23 18:40