Idioma:Español
Tenerife v Almería
Resultado del partido
Tenerife (Local)
Predicción 33.92%2.95momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.60%33.82%33.99%35.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.682.652.8640.82%37.30%37.74%34.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 37.34%2.68momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.52%37.38%37.35%38.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.432.422.5643.48%41.21%41.32%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.74%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.667%
Kelly -0.945%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.32%28.80%28.66%30.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.35%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tenerife (Local): 33.92%; Almería (Visitante): 37.34%; Empate: 28.74%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.48. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.40, con un valor esperado de -2.27%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.54%EV -3.00%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.47%EV -4.41%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.98%EV -4.86%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.60%EV -3.68%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -12.33%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.60%EV -3.68%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -12.33%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.56%EV -5.71%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -7.02%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -7.44%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.73%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.65%E -2.66%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.27%E -0.667%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.73%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.27%E -0.667%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.73%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -10.32%E -3.31%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 19:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.52%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -10.32%E -3.31%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.41%EV -9.44%E -3.54%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.86%EV -9.64%E -3.98%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 19:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -10.12%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -5.90%E -2.34%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -10.12%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -5.90%E -2.34%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.12%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -10.12%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.08%EV -8.14%E -3.31%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -10.12%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 13:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -10.12%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.39%E -4.33%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-17 19:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -10.12%E -3.82%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -14.12%E -6.14%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 19:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.80%E -4.11%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.13%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-17 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.80%E -4.11%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.13%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-17 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -11.14%E -4.25%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -11.13%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -11.14%E -4.25%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.51%E -4.85%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -11.14%E -4.25%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.51%E -4.85%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 19:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -11.82%E -4.55%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.13%E -4.68%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-17 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -15.21%E -6.08%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -12.25%E -5.21%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-17 13:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -15.21%E -6.08%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.12%E -6.14%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-17 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -16.91%E -6.90%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -14.12%E -6.14%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-17 13:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.64% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.41% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.40% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 36.75% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.86% | 16.3% | 2026-08-17 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
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