Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tenerife v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 19:33 UTC

Score final : Tenerife 1–0 Almería

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tenerife (Local)

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.596%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.83%34.41%34.41%35.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.682.652.8739.22%37.27%37.74%34.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.82%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -0.674%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.44%35.85%35.90%37.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.7443.48%39.53%39.22%36.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.72%3.36cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.40%29.73%29.69%31.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.073.103.2535.09%32.61%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tenerife (Local) : 34.45% ; Almería (Visiteur) : 35.82% ; Match nul : 29.72%. Pour Tenerife (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.90. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.87, pour une espérance de -1.11% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -1.11%E -0.388%K -0.596%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -6.97%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 19:24
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.99%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35%EV -1.85%E -0.674%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -6.08%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -1.80%E -0.633%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 19:14
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -2.84%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 08:00
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 19:05
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 07:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 19:09
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:50
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -5.25%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -11.16%E -4.50%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.01%EV -5.59%E -2.04%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -7.58%E -2.94%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 18:40
Bovada🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -6.28%E -2.31%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 19:19
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:50
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:44
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:44
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -6.97%E -2.58%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -12.95%E -5.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -3.40%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 07:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 07:05
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -14.03%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -14.74%E -6.19%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -14.74%E -6.19%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 07:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.21%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -12.32%E -4.18%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 19:03
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.38%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -14.40%E -5.00%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 19:19
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 19:22
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.27%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 19:05
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -6.14%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 19:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 18:44
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.83%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -9.73%E -3.71%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.89%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 07:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.86%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 07:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -6.37%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -15.29%E -5.37%K -8.27%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-23 19:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.47%EV -12.14%E -4.76%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.10%EV -17.61%E -7.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.43%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-23 18:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-08-23 19:10
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-08-23 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-08-23 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%0.7%2026-08-23 19:25
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-08-23 19:25
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-08-23 18:40