Language:English
Sporting Gijón v Sabadell FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Prediction 45.19%2.21fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.63%45.42%45.22%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.982.002.1857.14%50.44%50.00%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sabadell FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV +20.49%
Edge +4.21%
Kelly +5.29%
Growth +1.08%
assuming max odds 4.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.72%24.57%24.62%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.823.804.8730.30%26.18%26.32%20.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV -0.783%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.341%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.01%30.16%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.833.123.103.3035.34%32.07%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Gijón (Local): 45.19%; Sabadell FC (Visit): 24.74%; Draw: 30.07%. For Sabadell FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.72%EV +20.49%E +4.21%K +5.29%G +1.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%EV -6.20%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -1.04%E -0.259%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -11.42%E -5.83%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.91%EV -17.75%E -9.75%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.05%EV -18.20%E -10.06%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.05%EV -18.20%E -10.06%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.02%EV -4.64%E -2.20%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -5.59%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -15.49%E -8.28%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-17 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.01%EV -20.91%E -11.95%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.29%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.91%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -18.35%E -5.56%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.88%EV -14.91%E -5.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-17 16:52 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |