Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sporting Gijón v Sabadell FC

Início: 2026-08-17 17:00 UTC

Final: Sporting Gijón 0–0 Sabadell FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Previsão 45.19%2.21odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.678%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.63%45.42%45.22%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.982.002.1857.14%50.44%50.00%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sabadell FC (Visitante)

Previsão 24.74%4.04odd justa
EV +20.49%
Vantagem +4.21%
Kelly +5.29%
Crescimento +1.08%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.72%24.57%24.62%26.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.823.804.8730.30%26.18%26.32%20.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.07%3.33odd justa
EV -0.783%
Vantagem -0.237%
Kelly -0.341%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%30.01%30.16%31.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.833.123.103.3035.34%32.07%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sporting Gijón (Local): 45.19%; Sabadell FC (Visitante): 24.74%; Empate: 30.07%. Para Sabadell FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.04. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +20.49%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.72%EV +20.49%E +4.21%K +5.29%G +1.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%EV -6.20%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 16:45
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -1.04%E -0.259%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -11.42%E -5.83%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.91%EV -17.75%E -9.75%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.05%EV -18.20%E -10.06%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.05%EV -18.20%E -10.06%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 16:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 16:54
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.02%EV -4.64%E -2.20%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -5.59%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 16:54
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -15.49%E -8.28%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 16:54
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-17 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.01%EV -20.91%E -11.95%K -27.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-17 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:54
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.29%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 16:49
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.91%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-17 16:54
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 16:54
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -18.35%E -5.56%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.88%EV -14.91%E -5.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-17 16:52
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-08-17 16:54
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-08-17 16:55
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-08-17 16:55