Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sporting Gijón v Sabadell FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Sporting Gijón 0–0 Sabadell FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Prévision 45.19%2.21cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.678%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.63%45.42%45.22%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.982.002.1857.14%50.44%50.00%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sabadell FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.74%4.04cote équitable
EV +20.49%
Avantage +4.21%
Kelly +5.29%
Croissance +1.08%

avec la cote maximale 4.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.72%24.57%24.62%26.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.823.804.8730.30%26.18%26.32%20.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.07%3.33cote équitable
EV -0.783%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.341%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%30.01%30.16%31.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.833.123.103.3035.34%32.07%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sporting Gijón (Local) : 45.19% ; Sabadell FC (Visiteur) : 24.74% ; Match nul : 30.07%. Pour Sabadell FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.04. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.87, soit une espérance positive de +20.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.72%EV +20.49%E +4.21%K +5.29%G +1.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%EV -6.20%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 16:45
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -1.04%E -0.259%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -11.42%E -5.83%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.91%EV -17.75%E -9.75%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.05%EV -18.20%E -10.06%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.05%EV -18.20%E -10.06%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 16:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 16:54
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.02%EV -4.64%E -2.20%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -5.59%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 16:54
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -15.49%E -8.28%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 16:54
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-17 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.01%EV -20.91%E -11.95%K -27.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-17 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:54
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.29%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 16:54
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 16:49
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 16:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.91%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-17 16:54
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 16:54
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -18.35%E -5.56%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.88%EV -14.91%E -5.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-17 16:52
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-08-17 16:54
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-08-17 16:55
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-08-17 16:55