Idioma:Español
Sporting Gijón v Sabadell FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Predicción 45.19%2.21momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.678%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.63%45.42%45.22%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.982.002.1857.14%50.44%50.00%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sabadell FC (Visitante)
Predicción 24.74%4.04momio equitativo
EV +20.49%
Ventaja +4.21%
Kelly +5.29%
Crecimiento +1.08%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.72%24.57%24.62%26.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.823.804.8730.30%26.18%26.32%20.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.07%3.33momio equitativo
EV -0.783%
Ventaja -0.237%
Kelly -0.341%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%30.01%30.16%31.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.833.123.103.3035.34%32.07%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sporting Gijón (Local): 45.19%; Sabadell FC (Visitante): 24.74%; Empate: 30.07%. Para Sabadell FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.04. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +20.49%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.72%EV +20.49%E +4.21%K +5.29%G +1.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.78%EV -6.20%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -14.58%E -7.72%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV +1.44%E +0.351%K +0.464%G +0.007% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -1.04%E -0.259%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -11.42%E -5.83%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.91%EV -17.75%E -9.75%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.05%EV -18.20%E -10.06%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.05%EV -18.20%E -10.06%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -3.51%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.75%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.02%EV -4.64%E -2.20%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -5.59%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -6.90%E -3.35%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -15.49%E -8.28%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -0.783%E -0.237%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.00%E -2.88%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -13.68%E -7.16%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-17 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.01%EV -20.91%E -11.95%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%EV -7.22%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -1.48%E -0.678%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.29%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.46%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -12.32%E -6.35%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.70%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.61%E -4.81%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.91%EV -10.97%E -5.57%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -10.93%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.41%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -18.35%E -5.56%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.88%EV -14.91%E -5.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-17 16:52 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 16:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |