Language:English
Sporting Gijón v Leganés
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Prediction 48.62%2.06fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.96%48.69%48.54%50.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.901.912.0058.82%52.63%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leganés (Visit)
Prediction 23.38%4.28fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.439%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.73%23.33%23.44%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.854.3428.57%25.77%25.97%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.00%3.57fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.455%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.94%27.98%28.01%28.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.5334.72%30.82%30.77%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Gijón (Local): 48.62%; Leganés (Visit): 23.38%; Draw: 28.00%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV +1.47%E +0.338%K +0.439%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.29%EV -4.51%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.531%E +0.123%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 14:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.638%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.638%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.14%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.53%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.54%EV -5.55%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.94%EV -1.15%E -0.326%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 14:27 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.42%EV -17.35%E -10.21%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.11%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.48%EV -17.39%E -5.90%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:33 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 14:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.69%EV -9.83%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.52%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.86%EV -13.96%E -3.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.62%EV -10.95%E -3.44%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.08%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.84%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.14%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -18.17%E -5.19%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.73%EV -15.89%E -9.18%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -18.17%E -5.19%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.67%EV -19.35%E -6.72%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |