La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sporting Gijón v Leganés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Predicción 48.62%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.96%48.69%48.54%50.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.901.912.0058.82%52.63%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leganés (Visitante)
Predicción 23.38%4.28momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.338%
Kelly +0.439%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.73%23.33%23.44%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.854.3428.57%25.77%25.97%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.00%3.57momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.326%
Kelly -0.455%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.94%27.98%28.01%28.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.253.5334.72%30.82%30.77%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV +1.47%E +0.338%K +0.439%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.29%EV -4.51%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.531%E +0.123%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 14:28 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.638%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.638%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.14%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.53%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.54%EV -5.55%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.94%EV -1.15%E -0.326%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 14:27 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.42%EV -17.35%E -10.21%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.11%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.48%EV -17.39%E -5.90%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:33 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 14:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.69%EV -9.83%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.52%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.86%EV -13.96%E -3.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.62%EV -10.95%E -3.44%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.08%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.84%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.14%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -18.17%E -5.19%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.73%EV -15.89%E -9.18%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -18.17%E -5.19%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.67%EV -19.35%E -6.72%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |