L’École des cotesFrançais
Sporting Gijón v Leganés
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Prévision 48.62%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.96%48.69%48.54%50.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.901.912.0058.82%52.63%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Leganés (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.38%4.28cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.338%
Kelly +0.439%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.73%23.33%23.44%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.883.854.3428.57%25.77%25.97%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.00%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.326%
Kelly -0.455%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.94%27.98%28.01%28.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.253.5334.72%30.82%30.77%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV +1.47%E +0.338%K +0.439%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.29%EV -4.51%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.531%E +0.123%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 14:28 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.638%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.638%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.14%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.53%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.54%EV -5.55%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.94%EV -1.15%E -0.326%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 14:27 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.42%EV -17.35%E -10.21%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.11%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.48%EV -17.39%E -5.90%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:33 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 14:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.69%EV -9.83%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.52%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.86%EV -13.96%E -3.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.62%EV -10.95%E -3.44%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.08%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.84%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.14%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -18.17%E -5.19%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.73%EV -15.89%E -9.18%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -18.17%E -5.19%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.67%EV -19.35%E -6.72%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |