مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sporting Gijón v Leganés

البداية: 2026-03-01 15:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sporting Gijón (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.62%2.06السعر العادل
EV -2.76%
الأفضلية -1.38%
Kelly -2.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.96%48.69%48.54%50.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.901.912.0058.82%52.63%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Leganés (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.38%4.28السعر العادل
EV +1.47%
الأفضلية +0.338%
Kelly +0.439%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.73%23.33%23.44%25.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.883.854.3428.57%25.77%25.97%23.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.00%3.57السعر العادل
EV -1.15%
الأفضلية -0.326%
Kelly -0.455%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.94%27.98%28.01%28.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.243.253.5334.72%30.82%30.77%28.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV +1.47%E +0.338%K +0.439%G +0.006%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.29%EV -4.51%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 14:49
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +0.531%E +0.123%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 14:28
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.638%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 14:34
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.59%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -0.638%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 14:34
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 15:04
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:04
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:09
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -1.81%E -0.430%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 14:29
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 15:10
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 15:10
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.14%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:04
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.53%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.54%EV -5.55%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.94%EV -1.15%E -0.326%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:04
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:04
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:04
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:04
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 14:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 14:29
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -6.48%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:04
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 14:27
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -8.82%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 15:04
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 14:34
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 14:34
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 14:55
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 14:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 14:48
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.99%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 14:34
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.42%EV -17.35%E -10.21%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.11%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.48%EV -17.39%E -5.90%K -8.92%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-01 14:29
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 14:34
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 14:33
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 14:34
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:34
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 14:49
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 14:54
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:34
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 14:28
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 14:34
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 14:34
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.06%E -5.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.69%EV -9.83%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 14:49
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.52%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.86%EV -13.96%E -3.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.62%EV -10.95%E -3.44%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 15:09
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.08%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.84%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -13.19%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-01 14:54
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-01 14:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.14%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -15.83%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 14:49
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -18.17%E -5.19%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.73%EV -15.89%E -9.18%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -18.17%E -5.19%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.67%EV -19.35%E -6.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-01 15:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-01 15:10
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-01 15:10
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-03-01 15:09