Language:English
SD Eibar v Tenerife
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SD Eibar (Local)
Prediction 50.77%1.97fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.33%50.77%50.86%52.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.831.9258.48%54.59%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tenerife (Visit)
Prediction 21.28%4.70fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.450%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.86%21.21%21.18%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.264.304.7825.64%23.46%23.26%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.95%3.58fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.949%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.01%27.97%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.213.203.4634.48%31.12%31.25%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 50.77%; Tenerife (Visit): 21.28%; Draw: 27.95%. For Tenerife (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -8.10%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.86%EV +1.70%E +0.356%K +0.450%G +0.008% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -4.12%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -3.29%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -9.12%E -5.09%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -5.52%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 14:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.10%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -9.12%E -5.09%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -5.32%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 14:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.54%E -1.86%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.26%EV -10.64%E -6.05%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.76%EV -13.18%E -7.71%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.58%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.72%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.63%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -15.96%E -4.04%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 48.59%EV -10.64%E -6.05%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -17.02%E -4.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.49%EV -18.94%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.40% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |