Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SD Eibar v Tenerife

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 15:00 UTC

Score final : SD Eibar 1–3 Tenerife

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SD Eibar (Local)

Prévision 50.77%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.33%50.77%50.86%52.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.831.831.9258.48%54.59%54.64%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tenerife (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.28%4.70cote équitable
EV +1.70%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +0.450%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.86%21.21%21.18%22.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.264.304.7825.64%23.46%23.26%20.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.95%3.58cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -0.949%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.01%27.97%29.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.213.203.4634.48%31.12%31.25%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SD Eibar (Local) : 50.77% ; Tenerife (Visiteur) : 21.28% ; Match nul : 27.95%. Pour Tenerife (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.70. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.78, soit une espérance positive de +1.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -8.10%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.86%EV +1.70%E +0.356%K +0.450%G +0.008%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -4.12%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -3.29%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -9.12%E -5.09%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -5.52%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:54
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:44
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.10%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:45
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -9.12%E -5.09%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -5.32%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 14:48
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.54%E -1.86%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:54
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.26%EV -10.64%E -6.05%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.76%EV -13.18%E -7.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.58%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:49
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:44
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 14:44
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.72%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:55
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:55
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.63%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -15.96%E -4.04%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.59%EV -10.64%E -6.05%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -17.02%E -4.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.49%EV -18.94%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-16 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.40%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-08-16 14:55
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76%0.9%2026-08-16 14:55
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-08-16 14:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52%1.6%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52%1.6%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52%1.6%2026-08-16 14:55