默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SD Eibar v Tenerife

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 15:00 UTC

最终结果: SD Eibar 1–3 Tenerife

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SD Eibar (主队)

预测 50.77%1.97公平赔率
EV -2.52%
优势 -1.31%
Kelly -2.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布
48.33%50.77%50.86%52.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.831.831.9258.48%54.59%54.64%52.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tenerife (客队)

预测 21.28%4.70公平赔率
EV +1.70%
优势 +0.356%
Kelly +0.450%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 4.78

博彩公司预测分布
19.86%21.21%21.18%22.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.264.304.7825.64%23.46%23.26%20.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.95%3.58公平赔率
EV -3.29%
优势 -0.949%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.46

博彩公司预测分布
27.44%28.01%27.97%29.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.213.203.4634.48%31.12%31.25%28.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SD Eibar (主队):50.77%;Tenerife (客队):21.28%;平局:27.95%。 对于“Tenerife (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.70。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.78,对应+1.70%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -8.10%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.86%EV +1.70%E +0.356%K +0.450%G +0.008%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -4.12%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -3.29%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -9.12%E -5.09%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -5.52%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:54
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -2.13%E -0.462%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 14:44
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.10%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -4.25%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:45
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -9.12%E -5.09%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -5.32%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 14:48
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.54%E -1.86%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:54
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.15%E -6.37%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.04%EV -4.55%E -2.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -2.52%E -1.31%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.26%EV -10.64%E -6.05%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.76%EV -13.18%E -7.71%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.58%EV -8.51%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:49
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.07%E -3.28%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:44
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 14:44
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.72%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:55
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:55
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.33%EV -5.06%E -2.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -14.75%E -4.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.63%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -12.77%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -7.60%E -4.17%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -7.09%E -3.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -16.14%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -8.61%E -4.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -15.96%E -4.04%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.59%EV -10.64%E -6.05%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -17.02%E -4.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.49%EV -18.94%E -6.53%K -9.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-16 14:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.40%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-08-16 14:55
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76%0.9%2026-08-16 14:55
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-08-16 14:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52%1.6%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52%1.6%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52%1.6%2026-08-16 14:55