Language:English
SD Eibar v Málaga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SD Eibar (Local)
Prediction 45.83%2.18fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.06%45.73%45.88%47.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.14%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Málaga (Visit)
Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%25.29%25.13%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.623.653.9330.77%27.60%27.40%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.99%3.45fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.596%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.67%28.98%28.99%30.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.36%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 45.83%; Málaga (Visit): 25.18%; Draw: 28.99%. For Málaga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.93, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.62%EV -1.05%E -0.266%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.24%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.57%EV -6.94%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.42%EV -5.13%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.42%EV -5.13%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.51%E -3.19%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 18:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.51%E -3.19%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 18:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 18:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -9.26%E -4.68%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.84%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -11.12%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.65%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.31%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 18:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.00%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.06%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -18.17%E -5.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -18.82%E -6.72%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.82%EV -12.92%E -6.80%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.31%EV -13.90%E -4.68%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-02 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -14.30%E -7.65%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 18:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 18:56 |