مدرسة الاحتمالات

SD Eibar v Málaga

البداية: 2026-05-02 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: SD Eibar 2–4 Málaga

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

SD Eibar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.83%2.18السعر العادل
EV -3.76%
الأفضلية -1.79%
Kelly -3.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.06%45.73%45.88%47.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.14%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Málaga (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.18%3.97السعر العادل
EV -1.05%
الأفضلية -0.266%
Kelly -0.357%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.21%25.29%25.13%26.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.623.653.9330.77%27.60%27.40%25.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.99%3.45السعر العادل
EV -1.43%
الأفضلية -0.420%
Kelly -0.596%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.67%28.98%28.99%30.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.36%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.62%EV -1.05%E -0.266%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 18:40
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.24%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.57%EV -6.94%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 18:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:40
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.42%EV -5.13%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.42%EV -5.13%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 18:40
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 18:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 18:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 18:50
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.51%E -3.19%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 18:54
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.51%E -3.19%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 18:56
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:40
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:05
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 18:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:39
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 18:33
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -9.26%E -4.68%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:05
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 15:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.84%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -11.12%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 18:40
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 18:05
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 18:05
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 18:05
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.65%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.31%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 18:06
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.00%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 18:00
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.06%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -18.17%E -5.59%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -18.82%E -6.72%K -10.46%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-02 18:40
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.82%EV -12.92%E -6.80%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.31%EV -13.90%E -4.68%K -7.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 18:45
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -14.30%E -7.65%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 18:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-05-02 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-05-02 18:35
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-05-02 18:56