La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SD Eibar v Málaga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SD Eibar (Local)
Predicción 45.83%2.18momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.06%45.73%45.88%47.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.14%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Málaga (Visitante)
Predicción 25.18%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.357%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.21%25.29%25.13%26.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.623.653.9330.77%27.60%27.40%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.99%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.420%
Kelly -0.596%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.67%28.98%28.99%30.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.36%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.62%EV -1.05%E -0.266%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 18:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.24%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.57%EV -6.94%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.42%EV -5.13%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.42%EV -5.13%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:50 |
| Bovada | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.51%E -3.19%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 18:54 |
| BetAnything | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.51%E -3.19%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 18:56 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 18:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -9.26%E -4.68%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-01 15:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.84%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -11.12%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.65%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.31%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 18:06 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.00%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.06%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -18.17%E -5.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -18.82%E -6.72%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.82%EV -12.92%E -6.80%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.31%EV -13.90%E -4.68%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-02 18:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -14.30%E -7.65%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 18:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 18:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 18:56 |