A Escola das Odds

SD Eibar v Málaga

Início: 2026-05-02 19:00 UTC

Final: SD Eibar 2–4 Málaga

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Previsão 45.83%2.18odd justa
EV -3.76%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -3.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.06%45.73%45.88%47.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.14%50.00%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Málaga (Visitante)

Previsão 25.18%3.97odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.266%
Kelly -0.357%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.21%25.29%25.13%26.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.623.653.9330.77%27.60%27.40%25.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.99%3.45odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.420%
Kelly -0.596%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.67%28.98%28.99%30.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.36%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.62%EV -1.05%E -0.266%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 18:40
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.24%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.57%EV -6.94%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 18:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:40
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.42%EV -5.13%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.42%EV -5.13%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 18:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 18:40
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 18:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 18:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 18:50
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.51%E -3.19%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 18:54
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.51%E -3.19%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 18:56
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:40
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -7.42%E -3.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:05
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -1.43%E -0.420%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 18:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:39
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.58%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 18:40
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 18:33
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -9.26%E -4.68%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:05
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 15:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -6.84%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.84%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -11.12%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 18:40
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.63%E -5.45%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 18:05
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 18:05
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 18:05
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -11.09%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.65%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.31%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 18:06
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.10%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.00%EV -11.55%E -5.98%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 18:00
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.06%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -18.17%E -5.59%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -18.82%E -6.72%K -10.46%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-02 18:40
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.82%EV -12.92%E -6.80%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.31%EV -13.90%E -4.68%K -7.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 18:45
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -14.30%E -7.65%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -8.68%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 18:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-05-02 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-05-02 18:35
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-05-02 18:56