Language:English
SD Eibar v Burgos CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SD Eibar (Local)
Prediction 45.31%2.21fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.54%45.27%45.37%46.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.032.052.1354.05%49.25%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burgos CF (Visit)
Prediction 22.71%4.40fair odd
EV +4.93%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 4.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.90%22.61%22.80%24.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.6227.78%24.90%25.00%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.98%3.13fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.85%32.12%31.83%33.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.852.853.0440.00%35.12%35.09%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 45.31%; Burgos CF (Visit): 22.71%; Draw: 31.98%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -3.50%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV +4.93%E +1.07%K +1.36%G +0.067% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.76%EV -8.53%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +3.34%E +0.734%K +0.940%G +0.031% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +3.34%E +0.734%K +0.940%G +0.031% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -0.069%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.37%E -4.51%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 17:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.37%E -4.51%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.00%EV -8.03%E -3.96%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.66%E -0.383%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 14:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -8.02%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -8.02%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.71%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.59%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 17:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 16:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.76%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -2.77%E -0.912%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -7.58%E -3.71%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.84%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.41%EV -8.94%E -4.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.16%EV -16.18%E -8.75%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.42%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.42%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.73%EV -11.65%E -5.98%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.88%E -3.06%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 17:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.54%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.14%EV -13.92%E -7.33%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.09%EV -9.81%E -3.48%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.64%EV -12.11%E -6.24%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -13.70%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.06%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -12.11%E -6.24%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -15.97%E -4.32%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -13.01%E -6.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -15.97%E -4.32%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.58%EV -13.47%E -7.05%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -5.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.61% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.04% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |