La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
SD Eibar v Burgos CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SD Eibar (Local)
Predicción 45.31%2.21momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.54%45.27%45.37%46.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.032.052.1354.05%49.25%48.78%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burgos CF (Visitante)
Predicción 22.71%4.40momio equitativo
EV +4.93%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.90%22.61%22.80%24.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.024.004.6227.78%24.90%25.00%21.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.98%3.13momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.85%32.12%31.83%33.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.852.853.0440.00%35.12%35.09%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -3.50%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV +4.93%E +1.07%K +1.36%G +0.067% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.76%EV -8.53%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +3.34%E +0.734%K +0.940%G +0.031% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +3.34%E +0.734%K +0.940%G +0.031% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -0.069%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 17:09 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.37%E -4.51%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 17:03 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.37%E -4.51%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.00%EV -8.03%E -3.96%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.66%E -0.383%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 14:14 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -8.02%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -8.02%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.71%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.59%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 17:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 17:04 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 17:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 16:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.76%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -2.77%E -0.912%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -7.58%E -3.71%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.84%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.41%EV -8.94%E -4.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.16%EV -16.18%E -8.75%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.42%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.42%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.73%EV -11.65%E -5.98%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.88%E -3.06%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 17:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.54%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.14%EV -13.92%E -7.33%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.09%EV -9.81%E -3.48%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.64%EV -12.11%E -6.24%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -13.70%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.06%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -12.11%E -6.24%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -15.97%E -4.32%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -13.01%E -6.78%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -15.97%E -4.32%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.58%EV -13.47%E -7.05%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -5.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.61% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.04% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |