A Escola das Odds

SD Eibar v Burgos CF

Início: 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Previsão 45.31%2.21odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.54%45.27%45.37%46.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.852.032.052.1354.05%49.25%48.78%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Burgos CF (Visitante)

Previsão 22.71%4.40odd justa
EV +4.93%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescimento +0.067%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.90%22.61%22.80%24.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.024.004.6227.78%24.90%25.00%21.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.98%3.13odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -0.912%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.85%32.12%31.83%33.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.852.853.0440.00%35.12%35.09%32.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -3.50%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV +4.93%E +1.07%K +1.36%G +0.067%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.76%EV -8.53%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +3.34%E +0.734%K +0.940%G +0.031%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:05
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +3.34%E +0.734%K +0.940%G +0.031%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:05
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -0.069%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:09
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.37%E -4.51%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:03
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.37%E -4.51%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.00%EV -8.03%E -3.96%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.66%E -0.383%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 17:05
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:10
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 14:14
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -8.02%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -8.02%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:30
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.71%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.59%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 17:24
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 17:04
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 17:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 16:34
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 17:05
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.76%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -2.77%E -0.912%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:25
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:45
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:45
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:45
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -7.58%E -3.71%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.84%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:45
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.41%EV -8.94%E -4.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:25
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 16:40
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.16%EV -16.18%E -8.75%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.42%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.42%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.73%EV -11.65%E -5.98%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.88%E -3.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 17:08
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 07:30
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.54%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.14%EV -13.92%E -7.33%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.09%EV -9.81%E -3.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.64%EV -12.11%E -6.24%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -13.70%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.06%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -12.11%E -6.24%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -15.97%E -4.32%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 07:30
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -13.01%E -6.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -15.97%E -4.32%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.58%EV -13.47%E -7.05%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -5.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-15 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%0.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%0.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%0.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%0.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.61%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.04%2.9%2026-03-15 17:10