L’École des cotes

SD Eibar v Burgos CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Prévision 45.31%2.21cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.54%45.27%45.37%46.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.032.052.1354.05%49.25%48.78%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Burgos CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.71%4.40cote équitable
EV +4.93%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 4.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.90%22.61%22.80%24.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.024.004.6227.78%24.90%25.00%21.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.98%3.13cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -0.912%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.85%32.12%31.83%33.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.852.853.0440.00%35.12%35.09%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -3.50%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV +4.93%E +1.07%K +1.36%G +0.067%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.76%EV -8.53%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +3.34%E +0.734%K +0.940%G +0.031%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:05
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV +3.34%E +0.734%K +0.940%G +0.031%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 17:05
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -0.069%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:09
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.37%E -4.51%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:03
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.37%E -4.51%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.00%EV -8.03%E -3.96%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.66%E -0.383%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 17:05
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.709%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:10
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 17:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 14:14
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -8.02%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -8.02%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.58%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 07:30
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.71%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.59%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 17:24
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.94%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 17:04
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 17:19
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 16:34
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.65%E -5.05%K -8.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 17:05
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.76%EV -3.95%E -1.86%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -2.77%E -0.912%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:25
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:45
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:45
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:45
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -7.58%E -3.71%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.84%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:45
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.41%EV -8.94%E -4.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 07:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:25
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.12%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -8.48%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.60%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 16:40
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.16%EV -16.18%E -8.75%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.42%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.42%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.73%EV -11.65%E -5.98%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%EV -11.88%E -3.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 17:08
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 07:30
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.54%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.14%EV -13.92%E -7.33%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.09%EV -9.81%E -3.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.64%EV -12.11%E -6.24%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -13.70%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.06%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -9.39%E -4.69%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.83%E -3.96%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -12.11%E -6.24%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -15.97%E -4.32%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -8.85%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 07:30
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -13.01%E -6.78%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -15.97%E -4.32%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.58%EV -13.47%E -7.05%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -5.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -20.04%E -8.02%K -13.36%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-15 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%0.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%0.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%0.7%2026-03-15 17:05
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%0.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.61%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.04%2.9%2026-03-15 17:10