Language:English
Real Valladolid CF v Oviedo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Prediction 37.66%2.66fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.63%37.70%37.69%39.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.5745.45%41.49%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oviedo (Visit)
Prediction 30.84%3.24fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.70%30.79%30.83%32.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.42%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.50%3.17fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.24%31.50%31.47%32.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.902.903.1036.36%34.42%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 37.66%; Oviedo (Visit): 30.84%; Draw: 31.50%. For Oviedo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.68%EV -3.22%E -1.25%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.36%EV -1.62%E -0.508%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.96%EV -4.55%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.25%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 14:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 14:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -7.36%E -2.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.86%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -2.34%E -0.756%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.34%E -0.756%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.46%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.46%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.65%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -8.49%E -3.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 14:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 14:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.49%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.49%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 14:11 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -15.19%E -5.52%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-13 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 14:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -1.31%E -0.410%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -16.73%E -6.20%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.97%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-13 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.59%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.93%EV -13.03%E -4.62%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.48%EV -12.74%E -4.60%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -14.14%E -6.20%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -12.11%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -17.15%E -7.80%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -12.11%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 2.1% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 14:16 |