Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Valladolid CF v Oviedo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 14:17 UTC

Score final : Real Valladolid CF 0–3 Oviedo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Prévision 37.66%2.66cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.63%37.70%37.69%39.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.402.5745.45%41.49%41.67%38.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Oviedo (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.84%3.24cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.597%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.70%30.79%30.83%32.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.42%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.50%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.756%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.24%31.50%31.47%32.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.902.903.1036.36%34.42%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Real Valladolid CF (Local) : 37.66% ; Oviedo (Visiteur) : 30.84% ; Match nul : 31.50%. Pour Oviedo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.24. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.20, pour une espérance de -1.31% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.68%EV -3.22%E -1.25%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.36%EV -1.62%E -0.508%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.96%EV -4.55%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 14:11
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.25%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 14:11
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:14
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:16
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 14:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -7.36%E -2.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.86%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -2.34%E -0.756%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.34%E -0.756%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:11
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 14:16
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 14:05
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 14:06
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.46%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.46%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:00
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 14:15
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.65%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -8.49%E -3.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 14:01
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:10
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:14
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:10
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.49%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 14:10
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.49%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 14:11
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -15.19%E -5.52%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 14:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 14:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -1.31%E -0.410%K -0.597%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -16.73%E -6.20%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.97%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-13 14:15
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 13:21
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 13:20
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.59%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.93%EV -13.03%E -4.62%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.48%EV -12.74%E -4.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-13 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -14.14%E -6.20%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -12.11%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -17.15%E -7.80%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -12.11%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-13 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-09-13 14:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-09-13 14:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-09-13 14:16
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-09-13 14:16
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.1%2026-09-13 14:16
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%3.6%2026-09-13 14:16