Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Real Valladolid CF v Oviedo

Początek: 2026-09-13 14:17 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Real Valladolid CF 0–3 Oviedo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Real Valladolid CF (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.66%2.66kurs godziwy
EV -3.22%
Przewaga -1.25%
Kelly -2.05%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.57

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.63%37.70%37.69%39.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.412.402.5745.45%41.49%41.67%38.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Oviedo (Goście)

Prognoza 30.84%3.24kurs godziwy
EV -1.31%
Przewaga -0.410%
Kelly -0.597%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.70%30.79%30.83%32.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.993.003.2037.04%33.42%33.33%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.50%3.17kurs godziwy
EV -2.34%
Przewaga -0.756%
Kelly -1.12%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.24%31.50%31.47%32.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.902.903.1036.36%34.42%34.48%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Real Valladolid CF (Gospodarze): 37.66%; Oviedo (Goście): 30.84%; Remis: 31.50%. Dla wyniku Oviedo (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.24. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.20, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.31%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.68%EV -3.22%E -1.25%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.36%EV -1.62%E -0.508%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.96%EV -4.55%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 14:11
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.25%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -4.23%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 14:11
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%EV -4.35%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:14
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:16
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 14:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -7.36%E -2.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.86%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -2.34%E -0.756%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -2.34%E -0.756%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 14:11
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.07%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 14:16
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 14:05
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -4.40%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 14:06
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.46%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.46%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.43%EV -8.01%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:00
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 14:15
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.74%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.65%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -8.49%E -3.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.57%E -3.64%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 14:01
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.86%E -0.907%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.49%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:10
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:14
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 14:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:10
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.49%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 14:10
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.49%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 14:11
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -15.19%E -5.52%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.18%E -3.88%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 14:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 14:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -1.31%E -0.410%K -0.597%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.22%E -3.59%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -16.73%E -6.20%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.97%EV -11.79%E -4.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-13 14:15
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 13:21
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 13:20
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.59%EV -12.63%E -5.45%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.93%EV -13.03%E -4.62%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.48%EV -12.74%E -4.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-13 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.48%E -2.49%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -14.14%E -6.20%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -9.02%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.27%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -12.11%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -8.64%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -17.15%E -7.80%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -12.11%E -4.25%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.37%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-13 13:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-09-13 14:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-09-13 14:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-09-13 14:16
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-09-13 14:16
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.1%2026-09-13 14:16
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%3.6%2026-09-13 14:16