A Escola das Odds

Real Valladolid CF v Leganés

Início: 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Local)

Previsão 46.46%2.15odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.05%46.41%46.45%47.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.971.982.1056.18%50.66%50.38%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leganés (Visitante)

Previsão 25.28%3.96odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.357%
Kelly -0.480%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.89%25.34%25.28%26.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.593.583.9030.30%27.84%27.97%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.25%3.54odd justa
EV -3.38%
Vantagem -0.989%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.57%28.25%28.27%30.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.243.253.4236.36%30.82%30.77%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.42%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 04:50
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.71%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.64%E -0.423%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 17:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:25
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 21:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 17:05
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.06%EV -6.14%E -3.04%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -4.42%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -3.38%E -0.989%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:20
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.39%E -0.357%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.39%E -0.357%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 17:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 17:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 06:54
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 06:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 16:30
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 17:05
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 17:08
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 17:05
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.95%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:05
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 20:10
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 21:29
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 10:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 23:09
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 21:30
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 10:43
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 20:19
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 16:44
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 12:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 08:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -10.75%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.44%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 17:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-13 21:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -15.30%E -4.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-13 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.80%EV -13.11%E -7.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.15%EV -12.01%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.05%EV -11.86%E -3.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-14 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -13.11%E -7.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.70%EV -14.97%E -8.18%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.41%EV -22.31%E -8.11%K -12.75%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-13 21:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.89%EV -17.29%E -9.72%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -16.56%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.82%EV -15.25%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-14 16:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-03-14 17:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-03-14 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-14 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-14 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-14 17:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.70%2.5%2026-03-14 17:10