Szkoła Kursów

Real Valladolid CF v Leganés

Początek: 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.46%2.15kurs godziwy
EV -2.42%
Przewaga -1.15%
Kelly -2.20%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.05%46.41%46.45%47.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.781.971.982.1056.18%50.66%50.38%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Leganés (Goście)

Prognoza 25.28%3.96kurs godziwy
EV -1.39%
Przewaga -0.357%
Kelly -0.480%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.89%25.34%25.28%26.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.593.583.9030.30%27.84%27.97%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.25%3.54kurs godziwy
EV -3.38%
Przewaga -0.989%
Kelly -1.40%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.57%28.25%28.27%30.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.243.253.4236.36%30.82%30.77%29.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.42%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 04:50
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.71%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.64%E -0.423%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 17:10
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:25
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 21:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 17:05
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:45
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.06%EV -6.14%E -3.04%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -4.42%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -3.38%E -0.989%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:20
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.39%E -0.357%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.39%E -0.357%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 17:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 17:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:25
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 06:54
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 06:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 16:30
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 17:05
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 17:08
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 17:05
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.95%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:05
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 20:10
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 21:29
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 10:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 23:09
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 21:30
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 10:43
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 20:19
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 16:44
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 12:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 08:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 08:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -10.75%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.44%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 17:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-13 21:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -15.30%E -4.57%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-13 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.80%EV -13.11%E -7.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.15%EV -12.01%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.05%EV -11.86%E -3.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-14 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -13.11%E -7.01%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.70%EV -14.97%E -8.18%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.41%EV -22.31%E -8.11%K -12.75%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-13 21:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.89%EV -17.29%E -9.72%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -16.56%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.82%EV -15.25%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-14 16:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-03-14 17:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-03-14 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-14 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-14 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-03-14 17:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.70%2.5%2026-03-14 17:10