La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Valladolid CF v Leganés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Predicción 46.46%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.05%46.41%46.45%47.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.971.982.1056.18%50.66%50.38%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leganés (Visitante)
Predicción 25.28%3.96momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.357%
Kelly -0.480%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.89%25.34%25.28%26.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.593.583.9030.30%27.84%27.97%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.25%3.54momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.989%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.57%28.25%28.27%30.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.243.253.4236.36%30.82%30.77%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.42%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 04:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.71%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.64%E -0.423%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 21:30 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.06%EV -6.14%E -3.04%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -4.42%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -3.38%E -0.989%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.39%E -0.357%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.39%E -0.357%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 17:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 06:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 06:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:08 |
| BetAnything | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.95%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 20:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 21:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 10:43 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 16:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 12:00 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:00 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -10.75%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.44%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-13 21:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -15.30%E -4.57%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-13 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.80%EV -13.11%E -7.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.15%EV -12.01%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.05%EV -11.86%E -3.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -13.11%E -7.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.70%EV -14.97%E -8.18%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.41%EV -22.31%E -8.11%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-13 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.89%EV -17.29%E -9.72%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -16.56%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.82%EV -15.25%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.70% | 2.5% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |