L’École des cotesFrançais
Real Valladolid CF v Leganés
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Prévision 46.46%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.05%46.41%46.45%47.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.971.982.1056.18%50.66%50.38%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Leganés (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.28%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.357%
Kelly -0.480%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.89%25.34%25.28%26.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.583.9030.30%27.84%27.97%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.25%3.54cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -0.989%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.57%28.25%28.27%30.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.243.253.4236.36%30.82%30.77%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.42%E -1.15%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 04:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.71%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.64%E -0.423%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 21:30 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.75%E -2.32%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.21%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.06%EV -6.14%E -3.04%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -4.42%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.79%EV -3.38%E -0.989%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.39%E -0.357%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.39%E -0.357%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 17:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 06:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 06:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.24%E -2.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.07%E -3.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:08 |
| BetAnything | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.30%EV -7.54%E -3.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.95%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%EV -8.47%E -4.30%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -8.93%E -4.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 20:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.77%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 21:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 10:43 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 16:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 12:00 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:00 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -10.79%E -5.62%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -10.75%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.44%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-13 21:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -15.30%E -4.57%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.01%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-13 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.80%EV -13.11%E -7.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.15%EV -12.01%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.05%EV -11.86%E -3.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -13.11%E -7.01%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -12.77%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.42%E -4.01%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.70%EV -14.97%E -8.18%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.89%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.41%EV -22.31%E -8.11%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-13 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 46.89%EV -17.29%E -9.72%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -16.56%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.82%EV -15.25%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.70% | 2.5% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |