Language:English
Real Valladolid CF v Cádiz CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Prediction 53.09%1.88fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -6.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.06%53.10%53.06%54.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.731.741.7964.10%57.85%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cádiz CF (Visit)
Prediction 21.39%4.67fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.831%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%21.46%21.39%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.194.254.5026.67%23.85%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -0.233%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.080%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.56%25.45%25.55%26.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.553.9130.77%28.17%28.17%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Valladolid CF (Local): 53.09%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 21.39%; Draw: 25.52%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.91, with an expected value of -0.233%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.95%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.48%EV -4.38%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -0.233%E -0.060%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 08:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -17.64%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.38%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-28 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 01:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 01:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 06:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 06:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 06:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 07:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-26 03:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 07:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 07:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-25 07:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.06%EV -10.27%E -6.08%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 07:42 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.18%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -13.36%E -3.30%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 03:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.18%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -13.36%E -3.30%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.95%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-25 01:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 07:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.55%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -12.30%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.04%EV -14.01%E -4.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-26 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-27 07:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.49%EV -12.93%E -7.88%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.52%EV -19.78%E -5.28%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -17.07%E -5.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-03-25 01:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.60%EV -17.18%E -11.01%K -30.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.44%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.96%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84% | 16.4% | 2026-03-25 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 33.69% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 33.15% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 33.15% | 141.3% | 2026-03-28 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-25 20:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-26 14:09 |