La scuola delle quote

Real Valladolid CF v Cádiz CF

Inizio: 2026-03-31 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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39 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Valladolid CF (Casa)

Previsione 53.09%1.88quota equa
EV -4.96%
Vantaggio -2.77%
Kelly -6.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.06%53.10%53.06%54.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.731.741.7964.10%57.85%57.47%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cádiz CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.39%4.67quota equa
EV -3.74%
Vantaggio -0.831%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.15%21.46%21.39%23.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.194.254.5026.67%23.85%23.53%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.52%3.92quota equa
EV -0.233%
Vantaggio -0.060%
Kelly -0.080%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.56%25.45%25.55%26.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.553.553.9130.77%28.17%28.17%25.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 03:26
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 03:26
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 03:30
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 03:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 03:30
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.95%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.48%EV -4.38%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -0.233%E -0.060%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 00:50
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 20:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 08:19
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -17.64%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 22:05
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 07:45
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.38%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 00:44
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 01:09
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 01:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 06:35
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 06:34
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 06:35
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 06:34
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 06:34
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 07:44
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 00:50
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 03:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 07:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 07:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 07:45
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-27 06:35
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-27 06:35
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 07:44
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-25 07:59
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.06%EV -10.27%E -6.08%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 07:42
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.18%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -13.36%E -3.30%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-27 03:04
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.18%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -13.36%E -3.30%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-27 03:04
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.95%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-25 01:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 07:43
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.55%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -12.30%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.04%EV -14.01%E -4.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-26 13:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-27 07:44
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.49%EV -12.93%E -7.88%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.52%EV -19.78%E -5.28%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -17.07%E -5.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-25 01:14
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.60%EV -17.18%E -11.01%K -30.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.44%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.96%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-27 07:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 51.42%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%16.4%2026-03-25 02:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 33.69%1.25I 80.00%NM 33.15%1.25I 80.00%NM 33.15%141.3%2026-03-28 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-25 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-25 20:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-26 14:09