La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Valladolid CF v Cádiz CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Valladolid CF (Local)
Predicción 53.09%1.88momio equitativo
EV -4.96%
Ventaja -2.77%
Kelly -6.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.06%53.10%53.06%54.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.731.741.7964.10%57.85%57.47%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cádiz CF (Visitante)
Predicción 21.39%4.67momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -0.831%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.15%21.46%21.39%23.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.194.254.5026.67%23.85%23.53%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.52%3.92momio equitativo
EV -0.233%
Ventaja -0.060%
Kelly -0.080%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.56%25.45%25.55%26.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.553.553.9130.77%28.17%28.17%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:26 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:26 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -4.96%E -2.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 03:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.95%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.48%EV -4.38%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -0.233%E -0.060%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.49%E -3.09%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 08:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -6.03%E -3.40%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -17.64%E -4.58%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.38%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-28 00:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 01:09 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 01:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 06:34 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.09%E -4.05%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 06:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 06:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.62%E -4.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 07:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-26 03:30 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 07:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.15%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -9.21%E -5.39%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 07:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-25 07:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.06%EV -10.27%E -6.08%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 07:42 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.18%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -13.36%E -3.30%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 03:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.18%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -13.36%E -3.30%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-27 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.95%EV -10.80%E -6.43%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-25 01:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 07:43 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.55%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -12.30%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.04%EV -14.01%E -4.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-26 13:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.34%E -6.79%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-27 07:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.49%EV -12.93%E -7.88%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.52%EV -19.78%E -5.28%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -17.07%E -5.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-03-25 01:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.60%EV -17.18%E -11.01%K -30.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.44%EV -16.57%E -4.25%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.96%EV -14.52%E -4.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-27 07:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.42% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84% | 16.4% | 2026-03-25 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.23I 81.30%NM 33.69% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 33.15% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 33.15% | 141.3% | 2026-03-28 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-25 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-25 20:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-26 14:09 |