Language:English
Real Sociedad B v SD Eibar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV +0.645%
Edge +0.181%
Kelly +0.252%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%28.21%28.40%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.203.5632.79%30.92%31.25%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SD Eibar (Visit)
Prediction 42.81%2.34fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.40%42.79%42.75%44.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.40%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.59%29.00%28.85%30.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.62%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 28.27%; SD Eibar (Visit): 42.81%; Draw: 28.92%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.645%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV +0.645%E +0.181%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.76%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -7.16%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV +0.363%E +0.102%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.59%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.91%EV -0.203%E -0.057%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.27%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.05%E -0.300%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -3.31%E -0.969%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.39%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.03%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -1.54%E -0.671%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -1.67%E -0.491%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 18:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 18:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-02 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -13.77%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.77%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 18:00 |