مدرسة الاحتمالات

Real Sociedad B v SD Eibar

البداية: 2026-04-02 18:04 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Real Sociedad B (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.27%3.54السعر العادل
EV +0.645%
الأفضلية +0.181%
Kelly +0.252%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.35%28.21%28.40%29.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.233.203.5632.79%30.92%31.25%28.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

SD Eibar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.81%2.34السعر العادل
EV -1.54%
الأفضلية -0.671%
Kelly -1.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.40%42.79%42.75%44.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.40%46.51%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.92%3.46السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -0.491%
Kelly -0.695%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.59%29.00%28.85%30.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.62%31.75%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV +0.645%E +0.181%K +0.252%G +0.002%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.76%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -7.16%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 17:59
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV +0.363%E +0.102%K +0.142%G +0.001%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.59%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 17:59
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 26.91%EV -0.203%E -0.057%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.27%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:59
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.05%E -0.300%K -0.420%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:59
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:59
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:59
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -3.31%E -0.969%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.39%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.03%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 17:59
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 18:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:00
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:00
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 18:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:00
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 18:00
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -1.54%E -0.671%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 18:00
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 17:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 17:59
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 18:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -1.67%E -0.491%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 17:59
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 18:01
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:00
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 18:00
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 18:01
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 18:00
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-02 18:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-02 17:59
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-02 18:00
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -13.77%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-02 18:00
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.77%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-02 18:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%3.1%2026-04-02 18:00