A Escola das Odds

Real Sociedad B v SD Eibar

Início: 2026-04-02 18:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Previsão 28.27%3.54odd justa
EV +0.645%
Vantagem +0.181%
Kelly +0.252%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%28.21%28.40%29.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.233.203.5632.79%30.92%31.25%28.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SD Eibar (Visitante)

Previsão 42.81%2.34odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.671%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.40%42.79%42.75%44.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.40%46.51%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.92%3.46odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.491%
Kelly -0.695%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.59%29.00%28.85%30.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.62%31.75%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV +0.645%E +0.181%K +0.252%G +0.002%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.76%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -7.16%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 17:59
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV +0.363%E +0.102%K +0.142%G +0.001%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.59%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 17:59
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 26.91%EV -0.203%E -0.057%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.27%EV -2.82%E -0.841%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:59
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.05%E -0.300%K -0.420%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:59
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:59
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -2.46%E -0.714%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.40%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 17:59
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -3.31%E -0.969%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.39%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.03%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 17:59
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 18:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 18:00
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:00
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 18:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:00
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 18:00
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 18:00
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -1.54%E -0.671%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 18:00
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 17:59
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 17:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 17:59
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 18:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -1.67%E -0.491%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 17:59
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.06%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 18:00
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 18:01
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 18:00
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.95%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 18:00
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 18:01
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 18:00
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -8.90%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-02 18:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-02 18:00
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-02 17:59
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-02 18:00
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -13.77%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-02 18:00
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.77%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-04-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-04-02 18:00
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-04-02 18:00
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%3.1%2026-04-02 18:00