Language:English
Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Sociedad B (Local)
Prediction 22.76%4.39fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.288%
Kelly +0.371%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%22.72%22.80%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.963.984.4528.57%25.24%25.16%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Castellón (Visit)
Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.29%53.25%53.20%55.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.741.741.8161.35%57.57%57.47%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.356%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.03%24.00%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.754.1128.57%26.41%26.67%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Sociedad B (Local): 22.76%; CD Castellón (Visit): 53.18%; Draw: 24.06%. For Real Sociedad B (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV +1.28%E +0.288%K +0.371%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.12%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.33%EV -1.11%E -0.269%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.05%EV -1.91%E -0.442%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.70%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -5.68%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.24%EV -10.13%E -5.99%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -2.55%E -0.630%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.84%EV -4.18%E -0.993%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 18:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 18:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.18%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.18%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.26%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.36%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.13%EV -13.32%E -8.17%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.13%EV -11.69%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.48%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.39%EV -11.45%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.79%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.16%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -16.93%E -4.64%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.35%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 22.23% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.52% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.26% | -1.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |