Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC

Score final : Real Sociedad B 0–1 CD Castellón

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Real Sociedad B (Local)

Prévision 22.76%4.39cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.288%
Kelly +0.371%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.55%22.72%22.80%24.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.963.984.4528.57%25.24%25.16%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CD Castellón (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.18%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -4.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.29%53.25%53.20%55.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.741.741.8161.35%57.57%57.47%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.06%4.16cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.269%
Kelly -0.356%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%24.03%24.00%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.793.754.1128.57%26.41%26.67%24.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Real Sociedad B (Local) : 22.76% ; CD Castellón (Visiteur) : 53.18% ; Match nul : 24.06%. Pour Real Sociedad B (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.39. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.45, soit une espérance positive de +1.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetAnything🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV +1.28%E +0.288%K +0.371%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.12%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.33%EV -1.11%E -0.269%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 18:25
1xBet🎯4.31I 23.20%NM 22.05%EV -1.91%E -0.442%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.70%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -5.68%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.24%EV -10.13%E -5.99%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -2.55%E -0.630%K -0.836%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Pinnacle🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.84%EV -4.18%E -0.993%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 18:15
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:24
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:24
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 18:15
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:23
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:23
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:24
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 18:19
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:24
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:14
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 18:20
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 18:24
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.18%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:19
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.18%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:15
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.26%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.36%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.13%EV -13.32%E -8.17%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.13%EV -11.69%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.48%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.39%EV -11.45%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-14 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 18:19
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 18:14
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.79%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.16%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:19
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 18:25
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -16.93%E -4.64%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.35%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-14 18:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 22.23%1.89I 52.91%NM 53.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.26%-1.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-08-14 18:25