语言:简体中文
Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Real Sociedad B (主队)
预测 22.76%4.39公平赔率
EV +1.28%
优势 +0.288%
Kelly +0.371%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 4.45
博彩公司预测分布
21.55%22.72%22.80%24.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.963.984.4528.57%25.24%25.16%22.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
CD Castellón (客队)
预测 53.18%1.88公平赔率
EV -3.75%
优势 -2.07%
Kelly -4.63%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.81
博彩公司预测分布
51.29%53.25%53.20%55.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.631.741.741.8161.35%57.57%57.47%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.06%4.16公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.269%
Kelly -0.356%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.11
博彩公司预测分布
23.05%24.03%24.00%25.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.793.754.1128.57%26.41%26.67%24.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Real Sociedad B (主队)：22.76%；CD Castellón (客队)：53.18%；平局：24.06%。 对于“Real Sociedad B (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.39。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.45，对应+1.28%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV +1.28%E +0.288%K +0.371%G +0.005% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.12%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.33%EV -1.11%E -0.269%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.05%EV -1.91%E -0.442%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.70%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -5.68%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.24%EV -10.13%E -5.99%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -2.55%E -0.630%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.84%EV -4.18%E -0.993%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 18:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 18:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.18%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.18%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.26%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.36%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.13%EV -13.32%E -8.17%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.13%EV -11.69%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.48%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.39%EV -11.45%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.79%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.16%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -16.93%E -4.64%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.35%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 22.23% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.52% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.26% | -1.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |