Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón

Inizio: 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC

Finale: Real Sociedad B 0–1 CD Castellón

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Real Sociedad B (Casa)

Previsione 22.76%4.39quota equa
EV +1.28%
Vantaggio +0.288%
Kelly +0.371%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.55%22.72%22.80%24.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.963.984.4528.57%25.24%25.16%22.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

CD Castellón (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.18%1.88quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -2.07%
Kelly -4.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.29%53.25%53.20%55.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.741.741.8161.35%57.57%57.47%55.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.06%4.16quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.269%
Kelly -0.356%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.05%24.03%24.00%25.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.793.754.1128.57%26.41%26.67%24.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Real Sociedad B (Casa): 22.76%; CD Castellón (Trasferta): 53.18%; Pareggio: 24.06%. Per Real Sociedad B (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.39. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.45, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.28%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV +1.28%E +0.288%K +0.371%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.12%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.33%EV -1.11%E -0.269%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 18:25
1xBet🎯4.31I 23.20%NM 22.05%EV -1.91%E -0.442%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.70%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -5.68%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.24%EV -10.13%E -5.99%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -2.55%E -0.630%K -0.836%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Pinnacle🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.84%EV -4.18%E -0.993%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.12%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 18:15
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:24
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:24
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 18:15
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:23
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:23
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.75%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:24
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 18:19
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.68%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:24
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:14
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 18:20
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 18:24
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.18%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:19
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.94%E -3.96%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -12.18%E -3.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:15
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.26%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.36%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -10.10%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.13%EV -13.32%E -8.17%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.18%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 18:15
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.60%E -5.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.13%EV -11.69%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.48%EV -9.06%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.39%EV -11.45%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-14 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.37%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 18:19
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.38%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 18:14
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.79%E -4.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.16%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 18:20
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -8.57%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:19
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 18:25
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -15.79%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.77%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -16.93%E -4.64%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -18.06%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.97%E -2.97%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.35%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-14 18:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 22.23%1.89I 52.91%NM 53.52%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.26%-1.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-08-14 18:25